Wednesday, February 22, 2017

China's 'New Silk Road' Is Derailed In Sri Lanka By Political Chaos And Violent Protests

TOPSHOT - Sri Lankan police tryo to hold back demonstrators during a protest against the proposed sale of a stake in a loss-making port to a Chinese company in Colombo on February 1, 2017.Protesters led by the leftist Peoples Liberation Front, are opposing plans to sell an 80 percent stake in the $1.4 billion deep sea port of Hambantota to China Merchants Port Holdings Company. Image: ISHARA S. KODIKARA/AFP/Getty Images.
It was supposed to be a great new catalyst of transportation, manufacturing, and trade that would be used to stimulate growth in Sri Lanka’s remote Hambantota district. The dream was for Sri Lanka, China, and other nations to join together in the building of a new international city that would rise up from the southern jungles that could complement booming Colombo, a 250 kilometer driver to the northwest. Instead, Sri Lanka found itself with an array of cash-hemorrhaging, half-developed infrastructure projects that are on the verge of becoming white elephantslarge amounts of international debt, and a highly unstable political and social social situation.
It is now looking as if Sri Lanka's biggest partner in the Hambantota endeavor, China, is pulling back from what seems to have become an all out fiasco. While a deal was supposed to be formally signed on January 7th that would have seen China take over an 80% share of the struggling Hambantota port for 99 years in exchange for $1.1 billion of much needed debt relief, this agreement has now been put on indefinite hold due to internal political strife and violent public demonstrations.
Sri Lanka began building this strategically-located deep sea port in 2008 with over $300 million in Chinese loans, which the country has subsequently struggled to repay. This was partly due to the poor economic performance of the port itself, which was originally intended to be run in tandem with a nearby industrial zone. However, this part of the project was never built.
Prevailing logic states that a bulk cargo port without a corresponding industrial zone is like a bicycle with one wheel — it just doesn’t go. So regardless of how much development occurred on the port itself, the bulk of maritime traffic would continue passing it by for lack of a reason to go there — i.e. a manufacturing area where they could drop off and pick up raw materials and other cargo.
The Chinese takeover of the Hambantota port and 15,000 acres of land for the accompanying industrial zone was meant to be a way for the project to be taken to fruition amid Sri Lanka’s dire financial situation. Instead, the country erupted in protest and political controversy.
In January, as news of the impending transfer of 80% of the Hambantota port to the China Merchants shipping company became known locally and speculation that villages and farms would be requisitioned to build the industrial zone became rife, violent protests broke out in the region. The melee brought the issue to the national forefront, and trade unions and some opposition politicians led by Mahinda Rajapaksa — Sri Lanka’s former president who originally began the Hambantota development — began making things very difficult for these deals to actually happen. Eventually, a lawsuit intending to stop the impending debt-for-equity transfer was filed by a Sri Lankan legislator against the current government.
Sri Lanka responded to the heat by delaying the signing of the port and industrial zone deals, much to the chagrin of China, who had previously promised to invest $5 billion in the Hambantota area within the next five years.
China’s Ambassador to Sri Lanka, Yi Xianliang, claims that while President Xi Jinping and himself are prepared to exercise patience with Sri Lanka, investors may not be so accommodating. According to the ambassador, he had already rounded up over ten big Chinese companies who would be willing to invest $3-5 billion in Hambantota over the next two or three years, if it wasn’t for the political strife on the ground.